Ok yes, the public generally dislikes the Oscars for being snobbish and elitist with their winners. However, more often than not, they usually pick the films that end up being the classic films of our time. Every year, I anticipate the winners for the Oscars not even so much that I want to agree with the winners (since I don't always do that) but because I love the competition. Rooting for the movie you want to win most really gets my blood pumping and experiencing my reactions of joy/anger is quite exhilarating.
With the announcement of the National Board of Review winners today, it's time for the awards season to begin. So, what do you think will make the shortlists this year? You know the categories and most of the competitors, so get to it (if you care like me of course). I will have mine up soon.
Ok, here is my current predictions. I'm doing a full list, so be prepared. Also keep in mind that this is subject to change, but it's just what I think is likely right now.
Legend
*Predicted winner
=Runner-up
+Dark horse
Best Picture
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button*
The Dark Knight
Frost/Nixon
Milk=
Slumdog Millionaire+
Alt: Gran Torino, The Wrestler, Revolutionary Road
Best Actor
Richard Jenkins for The Visitor
Frank Langella for Frost/Nixon+
Brad Pitt for The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Sean Penn for Milk=
Mickey Rourke for The Wrestler*
Alt: Clint Eastwood for Gran Torino, Leonardo DiCaprio for Revolutionary Road, Benico del Toro for Che
Best Actress
Anne Hathaway for Rachel Getting Married*
Melissa Leo for Frozen River
Meryl Streep for Doubt=
Kristin Scott Thomas for I've Loved You So Long
Kate Winslet for Revolutionary Road+
Alt: Angelina Jolie for Changeling, Keira Knightley for The Duchess, Sally Hawkins for Happy Go Lucky
Best Supporting Actor
Josh Brolin for Milk=
Robert Downey Jr. for Tropic Thunder
Philip Seymour Hoffman for Doubt+
Heath Ledger for The Dark Knight*
Michael Shannon for Revolutionary Road
Alt: James Franco for Milk, Liev Schreiber for Defiance, John Malkovich for Changeling, Brad Pitt for Burn After Reading
Best Supporting Actress
Penelope Cruz for Vicky Christina Barcelona*
Viola Davis for Doubt
Taraji P. Henson for The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Marisa Tomei for The Wrestler+
Kate Winslet for The Reader=
Alt: Amy Adams for Doubt, Kathy Bates for Revolutionary Road, Debra Winger or Rosemary DeWitt for Rachel Getting Married
Best Original Screenplay
Milk*
Rachel Getting Married
Vicky Christina Barcelona=
Wall-E
The Wrestler+
Alt: Gran Torino, The Visitor, Synecdoche New York
Best Adapted Screenplay
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button*
The Dark Knight
Doubt
Frost/Nixon+
Slumdog Millionaire=
Alt: Revolutionary Road, The Reader, Defiance
Best Animated Feature
Bolt+
Kung-Fu Panda=
Wall-E*
Alt: Waltz with Bashir
Best Cinematography
Australia=
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button*
The Dark Knight+
The Fall
Revolutionary Road
Alt: Che, The Reader, Defiance, Gran Torino
Best Art Direction
Australia*
Changeling
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button+
The Duchess=
The Reader
Alt: The Fall, Prince Caspian, Revolutionary Road
Best Costume Design
Australia*
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button+
The Duchess=
The Reader
Revolutionary Road
Alt: Prince Caspian, Changeling, Defiance
Best Editing
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button*
The Dark Knight=
Defiance
Milk+
Slumdog Millionaire
Alt: Blindness, Australia, The Wrestler, Revolutionary Road
Best Sound Mixing
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight*
Iron Man+
Quantum of Solace
Wall-E=
Alt: The Incredible Hulk, Defiance, Australia
Best Sound Editing
The Dark Knight=
Defiance
Iron Man+
Quantum of Solace
Wall-E*
Alt: The Day the Earth Stood Still, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Best Visual Effects
Iron Man*
Prince Caspian=
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button+
Alt: The Day the Earth Stood Still, Hancock, The Dark Knight
Best Make-Up
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button*
Prince Caspian=
Synedoche, New York+
Alt: The Dark Knight, The Reader, Australia
Best Original Song
Kung-Fu Panda
Sex and the City
Synedoche, New York
Wall-E*
The Wrestler
Alt: ???
Best Original Score
Australia
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button=
Milk+
Revolutionary Road
Wall-E*
Yeah Fargo did win an award and it is a classic film. I'm not saying Oscars are always right, but I find it fun to see films compete against each other. Plus, don't you all want to see The Dark Knight compete for Best Picture? I'm rooting for it completely.
And yeah, I'd love for The Visitor to get some recognition. That's one of my favorites this year and Jenkins was just amazing.
Nice predictions. Personally, I'm rooting for The Dark Knight as bet picture but if anyone else beats it, the only other I'd accept is Benjamin Button. I hope it's as good as some of the early reviews say. I hope Brad Pitt is as good I've heard. I hope it will as good as it has been in my dreams. I hope....
Sergio- Yeah, I'm right there with you. I'm hearing good things about Benjamin Button and I want it to do well. Plus, it has the writer of Forrest Gump penning the script and that's one of my all time favorites. And yes, I will root for The Dark Knight since it's one of the few truly Oscar worthy movies I have seen all year.
antithesis- Look, no awards show is perfect, but at least the Oscars hold a little more weight with their picks. It's built itself upon the fact it is prestigious, even if that means it will also carry a degree of pretentiousness with it. However, it's not the show I care about. It's the competition. Seeing my favorites of the year compete with other films is quite satisfying, even when they lose. And saying that and Fargo are for masochists? Ok, what movies do you watch then? I'm not saying this to argue. Just asking what you consider not "masochistic."
I hope to keep predictions updated as the days go by, but in the meantime, does anyone else have any predictions?
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